World News from data (good & bad)
Significant changes vs. 10 days ago in transmission rates, ICU demand, and cases & deaths data.
- Transmission rate:
- โญ Bad news: new waves ๐ต๐พ ๐ง๐ผ ๐ง๐ธ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ผ ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ง๐ฎ ๐ญ๐น ๐จ๐ฌ ๐ธ๐ธ ๐ธ๐ท ๐ฑ๐ธ ๐ช๐จ ๐ท๐ผ ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฌ ๐ช๐ธ ๐ง๐ญ ๐ช๐น ๐ธ๐ฆ ๐น๐ฌ ๐บ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ช ๐ฐ๐ผ ๐ง๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ผ ๐ฑ๐ฐ
- ๐ข Good news: slowing waves ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ท ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐พ ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ง๐ช ๐น๐น ๐ฒ๐ท ๐ต๐ฌ ๐ธ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐บ ๐ณ๐ฑ
- ICU need
- โญ Bad news: higher ICU need ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐น๐น ๐ซ๐ท ๐ณ๐ด ๐จ๐ญ ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ช๐ธ ๐ต๐น ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น ๐ธ๐ช ๐ฑ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ท ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐จ๐พ ๐ช๐จ ๐ป๐ณ ๐ฒ๐น ๐ต๐ฑ ๐ฉ๐ช ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ง
- ๐ข Good news: lower ICU need ๐ญ๐บ ๐ฆ๐น ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ด ๐ธ๐ฎ ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ง๐ช ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ธ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ท ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ฐ ๐ท๐บ ๐ฑ๐น ๐ง๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ช๐ช ๐ฌ๐ท ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐ธ๐ท ๐ท๐ธ ๐ฒ๐ฉ ๐ธ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐ฑ๐ป ๐ง๐ณ ๐ฒ๐ณ ๐น๐ท ๐ฒ๐พ ๐ฆ๐ฑ ๐ฌ๐พ ๐ฒ๐บ ๐จ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ธ๐ป ๐ง๐ท ๐ฐ๐ฟ ๐น๐ญ ๐จ๐ท ๐ต๐ธ ๐จ๐บ ๐น๐ฟ
- New cases and deaths:
- โญ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks
- ๐ข Good news: no new cases or deaths ๐น๐ฉ
- Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases ๐ง๐ฎ ๐จ๐ณ ๐ง๐ญ ๐ฒ๐บ ๐ธ๐ธ ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ด๐ฒ ๐จ๐ป ๐ธ๐ณ ๐ง๐ณ ๐ซ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ท ๐ฌ๐ผ ๐น๐ฑ
- No news: continously inactive countries ๐น๐ฏ
- Deaths burden:
- Appendix:
Transmission rate:
Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large increase" = at least +2% change.
Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large decrease" = at least -2% change.
Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.
New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
- Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly lower" = 50% less
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.